Preliminary Program (September 25, 2003)
Program (PDF-68K)
Invited Speaker Abstracts (PDF-270K)
Session Descriptions
All abstracts (PDF
- 3.5MB) ** note that abstracts are listed alphabetically by author
for each session **
Sunday, 20 June 2004 |
1800 – 2000 |
Registration (set up posters) |
|
Monday, 21 June 2004 |
0700 – 0930 |
Registration (set up posters) |
|
0930 – 0945 |
Conference convenes – welcoming
remarks |
L. Bengtsson,
Max-Planck Instiut für
Meteorologie, Germany, and
D. Carson,
Director,
World
Climate Research
Program |
0945 – 1030 |
Keynote: Societal value of CLIVAR research: Using remote sensing
in the Bay of Bengal to predict cholera epidemics |
R. Colwell, Professor
Emerita, CMPS-Institute for Advanced Computer Studies, University
of Maryland,
USA |
1030 – 1100 |
Refreshments |
|
1100 – 1130 |
Keynote: Why CLIVAR? |
L. Bengtsson,
Max-Planck Instiut für Meteorologie, Germany |
1130 – 1200 |
Keynote: What is CLIVAR? Progress to date. |
A. Busalacchi,
Director of Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center, University
of Maryland, USA |
1200 – 1230 |
Keynote: Predictability of the coupled climate system: 100-year
evolution from weather forecasting to climate prediction. |
J. Shukla, Director
of the Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies (COLA), George
Mason University, USA |
1230 – 1400 |
Lunch (set up posters) |
|
|
Session 1: Short-term climate prediction |
|
1400 - 1410 |
Welcoming Remarks |
James R. Mahoney, Asst Secretary of Commerce for Oceans and Atmosphere;
Director, U.S. Climate Change Science Program (CCSP), USA |
1410– 1455 |
Mechanisms of short-term climate variability. |
B. Hoskins, University of Reading, Vice-chair
WCRP-JSC, UK; and M.
Wallace,
Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Washington, USA |
1455 – 1515 |
Seasonal to interannual predictability (modeling aspects) |
P. Delecluse,
LSCE-IPSL, CEA-CNRS, France, with D. Anderson,
M. Davey, B. Kirtman, R. Kleeman,
C. Penland, C. Wang and S.
Zebiak |
1515 – 1535 |
Evolution
of observing system for seasonal to interannual climate prediction. |
M. McPhaden,
NOAA Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory, USA; and
A. Hollingsworth,
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, UK; with B.
Kirtman, R. Reynolds, F.
Vossepoel and S. Wijffels |
1535– 1720 |
Posters/Refreshments |
|
1720– 1810 |
Discussion: Value of climate forecasts. |
T. Palmer, ECMWF,
UK and S. Zebiak,
International Research Institute for Climate Prediction, USA |
Tuesday, 22 June 2004 |
|
Session 2: The monsoon systems |
|
0830 – 0915 |
Monsoons |
J. Slingo, NCAS Centre for Global Atmospheric
Modelling, University of Reading, UK; C.R. Mechoso, Department
of Atmospheric Sciences, University
of California; and P. Webster, School of Earth & Atmospheric
Sciences, Georgia Institute of Technology |
0915 – 0935 |
Variability of the Asian-Australian monsoon and major roadblock
to seasonal prediction |
B.N. Goswami, Centre for Atmospheric & Oceanic Sciences, Indian
Institute of Science; T. Yasunari, Hydrospheric Atmospheric
Research Center, Nagoya University; and G. Wu, National
Key Laboratory of
Atmospheric Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences |
0935 – 0955 |
The
monsoon systems of the Americas. |
C. Vera, CIMA, Universidad de Buenos Aires-CONICET,
Argentina and W. Higgins, Climate Prediction
Center - NCEP/NWS/NOAA, with J. Amador,T.
Ambrizzi,
R. Garreaud, D. Gochis, D.
Gutzler,
D. Lettenmaier,
J. Marengo,
C.R.
Mechoso, J.
Nogues-Paegle, and
C. Zhang |
0955 – 1015 |
The African monsoon system |
C. Thorncroft,
University of Albany, SUNY; and L. Ogallo,
Professor, Drought Monitoring Center - University of Nairobi, Kenya;
with C.
Reason,
and F. Semazzi |
1015– 1200 |
Posters/Refreshments |
|
1200 – 1330 |
Lunch |
|
|
Session 3: The challenge of decadal prediction |
|
1330 – 1415 |
Climate variability
and predictability on decadal to century time scales. |
E. Sarachik, University of Washington; G.
Boer, Canadian Centre
for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Canada; and A.
Weaver,
University of Victoria, Canada |
1415 – 1435 |
Atlantic variability and predictability. Progress and challenges
for CLIVAR |
Martin Visbeck, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia Universtiy, and J.
Hurrell, National
Center for Atmospheric Research; with A.
Busalacchi, A. Clarke, T. Delworth, R. Dickson, W. Johns, K.P.
Kotermann, Y.
Kushnir, D. Marshall,
C. Mauritzen,
M. McCartney, C. Reason, G. Reverdin, F. Schott, R. Sutton, I.
Wainer, and D. Wright (Current
and former members of the International CLIVAR Atlantic Implementation
Panel |
1435 – 1455 |
Pacific decadal variability: A review |
N. Schneider, International Pacific Research
Center, University of Hawaii;and S. Minobe,Division
of Earth & Planetary Sciences,
Hokkaido University, Japan; with C. Deser,
Z. Liu, N.
Mantua, H. Nakamura, and
M. Nonaka |
1500 – 1700 |
Posters/Refreshments |
|
1700 – 1745 |
Discussion: Challenges for long-term climate prediction. |
M. Latif, Max-Planck Instiut für Meteorologie,
Germany; and G. Boer, Canadian Centre
for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Victoria, Canada |
Wednesday, 23 June 2004 |
|
Session 4: Understanding long-term climate variations |
|
0830 – 0915 |
Comparisons of observed paleoclimate and model-based studies of
climate changes over the past two millennia |
M. Mann, Department of Environmental Sciences,
University of Virginia, USA; and K. Briffa,
Climatic Research Unit, University of East Anglia, UK |
0915 – 0935 |
Paleoclimatic perspectives on abrupt climate change |
J. Overpeck, Institute for the Study of Planet
Earth, University of Arizona, USA; and
R. Alley, Department of Geosciences,
Pennsylvania State University, USA |
0935 – 0955 |
Progress in paleoclimate modeling |
M. Cane, Lamont-Doherty
Earth Observatory of Columbia University, and S. Joussaume,
CNRS France, with P. Braconnot,
A.
Clement, H. Gildor,
M.
Khodri, D. Paillard, S.
Tett, and E. Zorita |
1000 – 1200 |
Posters/Refreshments |
|
1200 – 1330 |
Lunch |
|
|
Session 5: The role of oceans in climate |
|
1330 – 1415 |
Key ocean mechanisms in climate |
J. Marotzke,
Max-Planck Instiut für
Meteorologie, Germany; and Susan
Wijffels, CSIRO Marine Research, Australia; with D.
Wallace |
1415 – 1435 |
The role of tropical oceans in climate |
P. Schopf, George Mason University, P.
Chang, Department
of Oceanography, Texas A&M University, USA and T.
Yamagata,
Department of Earth and Planetary Science, University of Tokyo,
Japan,
with S.K. Behera, J. Carton, W.S. Kessler, G. Meyers,
F. Schott, S. Shetye, T. Stockdale and S-P. Xie |
1435 – 1455 |
The northern-hemisphere extratropical oceans and climate |
P. Rhines, School of Oceanography and Department
of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Washington, USA; and R.
Dickson, The
Centre for Environment, Fisheries and Aquaculture Science, UK |
1455 – 1515 |
The role of extratropical southern hemisphere oceans in the Earth's
climate system |
S. Rintoul, CSIRO
Marine Research & Antarctic
Climate and Ecosystems, Tasmania; and A. Gordon,
Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University with D.
Olbers,
and K. Speer |
1515– 1700 |
Posters/Refreshments |
|
1900 – 2130 |
Conference Dinner (Baltimore National Aquarium) |
|
Thursday, 24 June 2004 |
|
Session 6: Human influence on climate |
|
0830 – 0915 |
Assessing climate change: A current perspective on progress and
directions in the IPCC Working Group 1. |
S. Solomon (NOAA Aeronomy Lab) and D.
Qin, Co-chairs of IPCC
Working Group 1 |
0915 – 0935 |
Climate change detection and attribution: Beyond mean temperature
signals. |
G. Hegerl, Division
of Earth and Ocean Sciences, Duke University;
T. Karl, NOAA, National Climatic Data
Center; M.
Allen, Department
of Physics, University of Oxford, UK; N. Bindoff,
Antarctic CRC, University
of Tasmania; D. Karoly, School of Meteorology,
University of Oklahoma; N. Gillett, School
of Earth and Ocean Sciences, University of Victoria;
and F. Zwiers, Canadian Center for Climate
Modeliing and Analysis, Meteorological Service of Canada |
0935 – 0955 |
Climate change
prediction. |
J. Mitchell, Hadley Centre, Exeter, UK; and
E. Roeckner, Max-Planck Institut für Meteorologie,
Germany |
1000 – 1200 |
Posters/Refreshments |
|
1200 – 1330 |
Lunch |
|
|
Session 7: Application of CLIVAR science to society |
|
1330 – 1350 |
The Integration of Seasonal Climate Forecasts in the Development
of Epidemic Early Warning Systems for Africa: Malaria and Meningococcal
Meningitis |
M. Thomson, International
Research Institute for Climate Prediction (IRI); with
A. Ben Mohamed,
S.J. Mason, L.E. Cuevas,
T.B. Phindela,
M.N. Ward, T.N. Palmer, A.P. Morse,
and S.J.
Connor |
1350 – 1410 |
The Global Energy and Water cycle EXperiment (GEWEX) - contributions
to climate research |
S. Sorooshian, University of California, Irvine |
1410 – 1430 |
CLIVAR Science: Application to energy |
A. Moura, Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia,
Brazil; with L.C.B.
Molion |
1430 – 1450 |
Application of CLIVAR Science to Agriculture and Land Ecosystems |
S. Gadgil, Centre for Atmospheric and Oceanic
Sciences Indian Institute of Science, India; G. Hammer,
Queensland Dept. of Primary Industries, Australia;
M.V. Sivakumar, Chief, Agricultural Meteorology
Division, World Meteorological Organization; and J.
Hansen, Int’l Research Institute for Climate
Prediction, USA |
1450 – 1510 |
Climate variability, fish and fisheries |
P. Lehodey, Oceanic
Fisheries Programme, New Caledonia, with J. Alheit,
M. Barange,
T. Baumgartner,
G. Beaugrand, K. Drinkwater,Jean-Marc
Fromentin, S. Hare,G.
Ottersen,
I.R.
Perry, C.
Roy,
C.
Van der Lingen, and F. Werner |
1510 – 1700 |
Posters/Refreshments |
|
1700 – 1745 |
Discussion: Energy, agriculture, and health: links to IPCC. |
C. Rosenzweig, NASA
Goddard Institute for Space Studies, USA; and H.
Grassl, Max-Planck Instiut für Meteorologie,
Germany |
Friday, 25 June 2004 |
|
Session
8: CLIVAR – Future challenges |
|
0830 – 0900 |
Monitoring and
prediction of the Earth’s climate |
K. Trenberth,
National Center for Atmospheric Research; B. Moore,
University of New Hampshire; T.
Karl,
NOAA, National Climatic Data
Center; and C. Nobre, Centro de Previsão
de Tempo e Estudo Climáticos,
Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais |
0900 – 0930 |
Atmospheric Observations and Data Assimilation for Climate Monitoring
and Prediction |
A. Simmons,
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, and J.
Derber, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, USA, with A. Hollingsworth,
E. Kalnay,
A. Lorenc; M.
Manton, and K. Onogi |
0930 – 1000 |
Observations and
data assimilation (oceans) – A future perspective. |
D. Stammer, Universtät
Hamburg, Zentrum für Meeres-und
Klimaforschung, Germany; M. Rienecker,
NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center, and N. Smith Bureau
of Meteorology Research Centre, Australia; with E.
Harrison, and D. Roemmich |
1000 – 1030 |
Integrated earth
system modeling and very high resolution atmosphere/ocean modeling—Challenges
with the Earth Simulator |
T. Matsuno, Frontier
Research System for Global Change, Japan, with M. Kawamiya, M.
Satoh, and Yukio Tanaka |
1030 – 1100 |
Refreshments (remove posters) |
|
1100 – 1200 |
Discussion |
P. Lemke, Alfred-Wegener-Institute for Polar
and Marine Research, Bremerhaven; G. Brasseur,
Co-chair IGBP, Deutsches Klimarechenzentrum, Germany; and D.
Carson, World Climate Research Programme, Switzerland |
1200 – 1245
|
Conference wrap-up. |
L. Bengtsson,
Max-Planck Instiut für Meteorologie, Germany, Chair-Scientific
Organizing Committee; and D.
Legler, Director, U.S. CLIVAR Program Office,
Chair-Local Organizing Committee |
1300 |
Conference ends (Remove posters) |
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